Corona virus on its own thread.

Jack

Bounce Radge
We should have had this weeks ago but chat has been spread all over the place.

I have a moderate interest in this as I was involved at a government level for the bird flu stuff when that kicked off. But I retired early over 7 years ago. Nostalgia and all that!

The website below monitors how the Miley Cyrus is affecting countries around the world. I find it fascinating. But words cannot describe how happy I am that I'm not involved.

The UK looks sweet in the charts. But just 2 weeks ago Spain didn't look too bad and 4 weeks ago Italy was still a holiday destination!

My fag run to Spain on the 1st of April looks like a fool's errand! Bastard, but I still have my prepare for Brexit reserve :-)

I suppose I'm looking for this thread to be about other sports cancellations, Celebrity cruises cancelling over 100 cruises affecting 2 to 3,000 passengers each. Or your personal Miley story.

Sneeze in the hankie below.

 

Purple & Green

Radge McRadge
Admin
I was relaxed when it was quoted today that there was a single case in Scotland that had been transmitted by community. But, then I heard some expert saying he thinks figures are underquoted ten-fold.

Worth a read of the Spanish Flu Epidemic of 1919 - and as I understand it, there is no cure at this point and you can catch it on multiple occasions.

I'm worried about seeing my parents, and any impact it might have on them more than me, the wife and the kids who should be okay.
 

Davy

get off yer bum an sing radge
Bounce Radge
I reckon our UK tactic is to allow most people to get infected and thereby build up an immunity. Lose a couple of thousand pensioners off the welfare state in the process.

my son seems to have it, has been told to self isolate so he will be another not going onto official figures..how many more like that?
 

Jack

Bounce Radge
Another thing that for me was my own mortality!

There's been 3 or 4 of these things in the last 20/30 years whereas before it was 1 or 2 every 50/100 years - something like that. I'm not sure anyone noticed because there were probably too many wars killing folk anyway.

This one, or the next one, is unlikely to get me but how knows after that?

For the younger folk among us it's a bit like registering on new website and for the first time you have to select that higher age grouping :26:
 

Sir Shrink

Retired Radge
Bounce Radge
Anyway.... I was at the COPD clinic at the Western General yesterday. The hospital is rammed so had to park miles away and walk.
Then the clinic is two floors up....,.,,

Coped with it all.


Then another patient came in. Chinese looking lass with the face mask on.

It was interesting. I was sat next to a table with gel bottle. They’d have had to fight me for it.

Not that I’m a snivelling coward.
Not totally anyway.


All right all right it’s a fair cop.




Reckon Jack’s a gonner though.
 

southfieldhibby

Bounce Radge
Found this very interesting. Makes the decision by the government to continue with things like Cheltenham and Football look totally mental.
I think America is fucked, like really fucked. They don't cancel The NBA or The Players without very good reasons.

My work has been quite the shit show!


This is what you can conclude:

  • Excluding these, countries that are prepared will see a fatality rate of ~0.5% (South Korea) to 0.9% (rest of China).
  • Countries that are overwhelmed will have a fatality rate between ~3%-5%
Put in another way: Countries that act fast can reduce the number of deaths by a factor of ten. And that’s just counting the fatality rate. Acting fast also drastically reduces the cases, making this even more of a no-brainer.

Countries that act fast reduce the number of deaths at least by 10x.
 

Jack

Bounce Radge
That's a frightening article @southfieldhibby .

All Scottish football matches postponed indefinitely. I suppose that means they don't have to make a decision about what happens around champions, relegation, playoffs and cups till later on.
 

Davy

get off yer bum an sing radge
Bounce Radge
Maybe I'm in the minority but I'm with the scientist who said that untill we expose about 60% of the population to the virus we will never build our own immune systems to fight it off: and it will keep returning. Yes people will die..mainly elderly people with underlying health problems...but that will happen with normal flu. Our bodies are finding a way to fight this virus...hence up to 99% of people are cured. Later it will probably be similar to normal flu. Hiding away for a month will not eradicate this virus
 
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Jamie

Admin
Maybe I'm in the minority but I'm with the scientist who said that u till we expose about 60% of the population to the virus we will never build our own immune systems to fight it off: and it will keep returning. Yes people..mainly elderly people with u underlying health problems...but that will happen with normal flu. Our bodies are finding a way to fight this virus...hence up to 99% of people are cured. Later it will probably be similar to normal flu. Hiding away for a month will not eradicate this virus
Aye I saw that too, like a herd to combat it.

Over 80 companies trying to come up with a vaccine.
 

Davy

get off yer bum an sing radge
Bounce Radge
Aye I saw that too, like a herd to combat it.

Over 80 companies trying to come up with a vaccine.

Hopefully they will find a cure. But we do underestimate the bodies ability to fight disease, and a lot of people have been saying for years we are getting far too reliant on sterilising everything, that when a new disease comes along we will fall like dominoes. We killed half the new world off because we took viruses into their countries..so Andy, I do appreciate your sentiment, but UK and the rest of Europe has done more over the last couple of centuries to wipe nations out than this virus ever will.

As an aside, if I asked the question, what has been the most successful virus ever..most people would come up with, the plague, or Spanish flu. Nope it is actually the common cold, because the chief aim of a virus is not to kill people, but to evolve so it can live on it's hosts without being eradicated itself. Viruses that kill their hosts merely are unevolved and suicidal. The way it looks is that this virus may be around every year like the normal flu we experience but over time become much less potent..funnily enough the way they do become potent is learning to fight our man made ant-virus medicines
 

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